Blog - Page 9 of 37 - Financial Literacy

Money continually flows from rabbits to turtles

Exactly like Aesop’s fable, The Tortoise and the Hare, billionaire stock investor, Warren Buffett, says, “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” Understand that this same concept applies to all kinds of industries, activities, and transactions. Naturally, this also includes personal financial planning.

How far into the future do you manage your personal cash flow?

A day, a week, a month, a year, 5 years, 10 years, a lifetime, several generations?

The shorter the time frame for your decisions, the more money you are giving to others who operate on a longer time frame. Let’s examine your spending habits:

  1. Do you wait and watch prices to buy and sell assets at the best time?

The patient will wait for prices to bottom before they purchase and wait for prices peak in order to sell. The impatient lose money by purchasing and selling without concern over the price movement. (There are many more examples of this: the patient buy items off season, the impatient at peak season).

  1. Do you borrow money to buy personal items?

The patient will wait to save the money for an item before they purchase it. The impatient will pay interest charges and other fees to take possession immediately.

  1. Are you too impatient to set long-term career goals and map out the steps to achieve them?

The patient set career goals and do the work to make them happen. The impatient do not set any goals and find themselves in the exact same career spot 10 years later, or flitting from job to job, never advancing.

  1. Are you too impatient to set financial goals and plan out how to achieve them?

The patient routinely adds to savings and investments, and increases their financial knowledge. The impatient spend all of their money now and are shocked to learn that many of their income peers have a far greater net worth.

Here are two very recent examples that highlight different time-frame thinking. I was talking to a lease-renewal agent for rental homes. She said that, “Although a renter may remain for many years, they consider a 1-year lease an eternity and a 2-year lease is unfathomable. Not surprisingly, the property owners think in 10-year increments.” In another example, a teenage acquaintance buys some consumable items for just $26 on eBay. She re-sells them on Amazon for double the price she paid. How? She buys a large quantity and re-sells them in a smaller quantity. She has repeat buyers that could have bought the larger quantity at a lower price, but for whatever reason, they do not do it.

While most public companies look out 3-18 months for making decisions, visionaries perform better. For example, Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon (the largest retailer in the world today), doesn’t care about the next 5 years – he’s focused on the next 50 years. As a result, local retailers are struggling while Bezos’ personal net worth just passed $140 billion.

The longer your decision-making viewpoint, the more options you have for making better financial decisions. The masses are mostly about instant gratification and they struggle financially. It is my best advice that you evaluate the long-term for all of your important decisions, because all of them are also financial decisions as well.

Retirement “Hail Mary” options

If you, or someone you know, is nearing retirement age with no savings, no investments, and no home equity, then what are some retirement options? No: Do not buy lottery tickets or put $25 into the next hot cryptocurrency. Those are not Hail Marys, those are fantasies – let’s deal in reality by utilizing 9 ideas that may work for you.

So if there is no money at all, then there must be some big adjustment and sacrifice from your current living situation in order to survive on social security retirement benefits alone. Let’s go through them:

 

  1. One scenario is to find part-time work for semi-retirement. Many businesses take on elderly workers for low-stress, low-skilled, low-effort positions. The Sacrifice = lower pay and you’re still working. Be sure to match your employment to your physical ability, because even part-time work can make an enormous financial difference in making ends meet.

 

  1. Ask kids or relatives for help. For example, in exchange for living in one of their bedrooms, you agree to make contributions with either money or effort to the household that is agreeable to the other relatives involved. The Sacrifice = lack of privacy, there is no guarantee of permanence, it is difficult to ask for assistance, and you must abide by their household rules and situation.

 

  1. Examine the details of public welfare at all levels: city, county, state, and federal. You may qualify for subsidized housing, exemption from property taxes, food benefits, lower utility rates, and too many others to mention. The Sacrifice = it takes research upfront, ongoing effort to remain qualified, and you may need to sharply downsize your lifestyle or move to another jurisdiction that offers more benefits to create a financially stable situation.

 

  1. Move to a low cost-of-living locale. If you’re no longer working then you don’t need to live in an expensive area with lots of employers. Small townships, likely far from airports, are possible candidates for low cost-of-living. There are new lists of these places every year from retirement publications, along with low/no-tax states and cities for retirees. The Sacrifice = you’re living in the middle of nowhere, access to healthcare and transportation may be more challenging.

 

  1. Move abroad to a low cost-of-living country. There are affordable towns in Ecuador, Panama, Malaysia, Vietnam, Spain/Portugal, along with Peru and Costa Rica, which Americans have turned to for a cheaper retirement. A modest social security income can put you in the middle class or slightly upper-middle class, depending upon which city you choose. There are books and publications that specialize in information about where to live abroad as an ex-patriot in retirement. The Sacrifice = leaving family and friends, learning a new language, learning a new set of laws and bureaucracy for banking, healthcare, travel visa, and more.

 

  1. Reduce your largest expense, housing, by housesitting. Unlike years ago, there are housesitting platforms that match people needing house sitters with people willing to do it. As a bonus, you can get paid to do so. For some people, this is their full-time income along with getting paid per dog walk (there is another platform that matches up dog owners to dog walkers). The Sacrifice = you live out of a small suitcase, move a lot, and may not have a sitting gig 100% of the time, so you’ll need a cheap backup plan for those days.

 

  1. Sell nearly everything and move into an RV to dramatically cut your cost of living. You’ll be able to travel on a whim, and enjoy communities of other full-time RVers. There are numerous publications and online resources for the RV lifestyle, seasonal employment, and cutting costs to the bone. The Sacrifice = cabin fever from a small living space, noise from weekend partiers at RV parks, inconvenient to run errands or wash clothes, no permanent community.

 

  1. Create a living situation with roommates. Just like after high school or college, get a 2 or 3 bedroom apartment and rent out the other bedrooms to divide up the rent and utilities. The Sacrifice = privacy, inconvenience, and possibly conflict/drama.

 

  1. Some cities are desperate to increase their declining population and are willing to pay people to move there. This list and their qualifications changes over time, but here are a few valid today: New Haven, Connecticut will pay new homeowners up to $80,000 to move there; Detroit Challenge will pay $1,000 to $20,000 with various programs to move there; Kaitangate, New Zealand will give you a quarter acre of land with a home worth $165,000; and Candela, Italy will pay $2,350 to lure you to live there. There are other government benefit programs if you’re willing to build a new home, start a business, or start farming.

 

  1. Delaying social security will increase your monthly payment. However, there are hundreds of ways to play social security retirement benefits: file and suspend, rely on your spouse for optimal timing, and many other provisions. An expert will have software to map out the best filing strategy for your situation. Important Note: Do not claim retirement social security until you have gone through all the possible scenarios with an expert. Once you’ve chosen, it is irreversible and choosing poorly can cost you thousands a year in missed money for the decades to come. The Sacrifice = to delay filing, you’ll likely have to continue to work in some capacity.

Of course, if there is zero money as you face retirement, it is HIGHLY recommended that you take immediate and drastic actions to reduce your expenses and/or increase your pay, or get a side income. You’re in a crisis and this requires crisis behavior to turn things around so you’ll have a few bucks to explore or fund a change in your life going forward.

If you’re not at retirement age then now is the best time to learn the lesson: you cannot make up for lost time when accumulating money. This is why it is critical to:

  • Start saving now and continue saving every time you receive any income
  • Never gamble for a high return
  • Never allow a large loss
  • Never use money assigned for retirement on anything else
  • Protect your bankroll

Extinguishing your student loans

Before reducing your student loan debts, naturally, it is best not to incur an imprudent amount of debt in the first place. There are too many student loan horror stories already of colossal debt that can never be paid off, or having your Social Security Retirement benefits garnished for decades-old student loans that were ignored. There are countless books, publications, courses, advisors, and online resources for tuition assistance, scholarships, grants, and other financial aid. Plus, there are directories of tuition-free colleges and tuition waiver programs from state universities across the country. If you do choose to use student loans, here are two rules to follow to avoid building up an overwhelming level of debt: Never borrow any money in the first year of school and never borrow more than 75% of the annual salary you expect with your degree from your school. There are nuances for special situations (for example, a medical degree where your expecting income will grow sharply over time, however there are debt limits for every degree, including medical and law degrees.) So you must budget your degree and expected earnings to avoid being saddled with far too much debt for your degree.

Whether you have a small or colossal student debt load, the big question is, “How do I get out of this as fast as possible?” Below are tasks, assignments, and goals to make this happen.

  1. Administration
  • Get all of your loan contracts to learn the exact details: rate, balance, due date, consequences for late payment, possible pre-payment penalties, and deferment rules. And thoroughly understand your monthly statements. (Some lenders offer a slight rate discount if you setup automatic payments, choose paperless billing, or adding a savings account at the bank).
  • Keep your contact information current with all of your lenders and/or servicers so you don’t miss important notices.
  • Understand and confirm payments are being made correctly. For example, you may intend to make an additional principal payment, but the lender may process that as a payment for the following month instead.
  • Follow the IRS guidelines for deducting the interest on your income taxes.
  1. Loan Balance Forgiveness, Discharge, Cancellation, Waiver, etc.
  • Many companies and non-profits offer some form of student loan forgiveness if you agree to work for a certain number of years; and some federal student loans qualify for cancellation through public service.
  • Some special situations allow for a loan balance discharge; for example: veterans, disabled, teachers, and sometimes withdrawing from school without a degree. There are online databases that track many types of student loan forgiveness programs.
  1. Loan Terms
  • It may be beneficial to refinance to lower interest rates, consolidate loans, or get a longer repayment term. There are many payment plans: Standard, Extended, Graduated, Income-Contingent, and Pay As You Earn – the best plan offers you the option of a small monthly payment. This is beneficial in the event something happens, plus it allows you the most freedom to target a particular loan with extra principal payments.
  • To evaluate any refinancing, you need to first list out the loan balances, rates, and minimum payments so you can employ the April 8th blog post tactic titled, “How to choose which debt to attack.” Then map out your payment schedule to determine the date at which all of your loans will all be paid off.
  1. Decide How Quickly You Want to Be Free – Maximize Extra Principal Payments
  • You can make minimum payments and take a couple decades to pay your loans off, but this extracts the most interest charges from your income – money that could be used for your lifestyle spending, savings, or investing. Paying for interest represents money that you earned that you can never spend, it was pre-spent. So minimizing interest charges by paying down the principal balance on your loans is an important financial goal.
  • So how aggressive with extra principal payments do you want to go? Live with parents, relatives, have lots of roommates to split costs; cut your budget to the bone; pick-up a side gig; apply 100% of any raise to principal payments; eliminate recurring monthly charge plans for movies, cellphones, gaming; apply any unexpected income, bonus, or tax refund to your principal balance.
  1. Begin Payments Immediately
  • Some students get a head start by making loan payments long before they graduate with extra money or part-time jobs. The faster you can hit principal payments, the faster you stop the clock on interest charges it is accruing. Tiny payments while you’re in school add up over time. You do not have to wait the 4-6 months after you graduate to begin making payments.
  • Some graduates make two half-payments a month instead of one at the end. Making these bi-weekly payments will slightly reduce the interest charge each month, but you have to check with your lender to determine if they permit this type of payment (some will allow weekly payments which is even better).
  1. Other Considerations
  • Since you’re trying to get yourself out of debt, do not incur additional debts with credit card balances for which you’ll be charged interest.
  • Don’t sink money into a new car, keep your junker or replace it with an affordable used car without a loan.
  • Track your loan balances each month to watch them melt, keeping your motivation high and momentum going to extinguish all of them.
  • Do not make extra principal payments until you have $1,000 set aside in an emergency fund to give you some breathing room if there is an unexpected expense.

If I had included website links on this post, it would be 16 pages long. Plus, they change as companies and rules change. But expert websites are easy to find, for example, if you’re unsure about consolidation? Look up, “student loan consolidation tips.” One great website resource to start with is StudentLoanHero.com that offers a lot of information and links to others.

Eagerness for criticism is a success key

The vast majority of us avoid criticism at cost. This includes countries, companies, and individuals. However, getting feedback is critical for advancing in the muddy waters of career, business ownership, investing, and many more financial matters.

In order to learn, improve, or change course you need new information, and that information is known by experts and mentors. The only way for you to access that information is getting specific feedback from others with proven track records of success. I’m acquainted with someone who has a stunted professional career, very poor investing results, and makes bad financial decisions. It is no coincidence she seeks no feedback and tries the opposite approach – everything she does is top secret from those that could help her. However, whatever isn’t immediately obvious will eventually become so over time; which makes her appear all the more ridiculous. She wants everything kept secret so that she won’t be judged or criticized, perhaps because she doesn’t have the maturity to cope with them.

Contrarily, I try not to make any notable financial decision without chatting with a few of the brightest and most successful people that I know. Invariably, they will offer decision-making facets that I hadn’t considered, a news item I was unaware of, or where to get more expertise. As a result, even the tiniest home maintenance decisions I make are more thoughtful, financially robust, and cheaper over time. I don’t care if the feedback I receive is abrasive, demeaning, insulting, or humiliating – I just want the information to improve and the sooner the better. A year out of college, I wrote a draft financial cover letter for the Controller and he sent it back to me, nearly dripping with red-ink corrections. My colleagues were aghast and so happy that they didn’t attempt the letter. But I viewed it as a great gift – my re-draft was great, it taught me how to convey financial information – how else could I have been taught so quickly? A lending mentor of mine repeatedly used the phrase, “It takes steel to sharpen steel” when he was about to give me some brisk suggestions.

What do you think happens if you’re taking the wrong path with the wrong approach? You head straight into a ditch. Getting mentors and advisers for feedback is likely the most important thing you can do for your personal success. There are people in your position making twice as much as you do. What are they doing differently than you every day? The easiest way is to find several and take them out for a meal and ask them, one at a time. Find out exactly what the people a level above your success are doing differently so that you can incorporate these tasks into your routine.

A mentor is critical to an advancing career because you must know what to do along with landmines to avoid. Advice on both of these fronts dramatically reduces the trial-and-error approach that most people follow, and it dramatically increases the time it takes to move ahead. This also applies to business ownership, stock investing, real estate, retirement planning, and personal budgeting.

Combat over-spending with substitutions

 

Nobody wants to live within their means, but that is the financial reality in order to have financial stability. Even wealthy people can easily blow through their income. Ken Cage is a high-end repo man. He confiscates expensive assets for banks, such as private jets and luxury yachts when owners fail to pay for a few months. Cage’s best advice, “Don’t let your ego make financial decisions. Purchase what you can easily afford, don’t try to impress others and lose sight of financial reality.”

Most people equate frugality with denial – but the middle-ground is to find a cheaper substitute. This is a topic too vast to explore in a blog post, but it is easy to research for your specific needs. Use an internet search wording similar to, “How to ______ on a budget,” or “Affordable way to ______.” You’ll find endless articles, advise, and candidates for you to consider. Here is one example: Most people have a smart phone and the average person pays $120 per month. To drop that bill by a potential 80%, you could evaluate if these substitute carriers match your needs: mintmobile.com or cricketwireless.com. Instead of paying $70-$120/month, you could drop your bill to $15 per month and pocket over $600/year.

Substitutes run from DIY gifts, room makeovers, to filling out your wardrobe for cents on the dollar. Everybody has to eat, but the further out in time you meal plan, the more you can save. You can prepare your meal components and then freeze them until you’re ready for them. You can knock out preparing a bunch of meals at a time and then have portions of them once-a-week for a month. This will save you time and money to batch your preparation, buying cheaper in bulk when they are on sale. Everybody wears clothes, and it is likely that you may be able to find a local thrift store for clothing. I know a mother that outfits her family from quality brands at the thrift store but also makes a part-time income buying baby clothes on their 50%-Off day and then re-selling them on eBay for a profit. If there isn’t a local thrift store, more of them are online such as ThredUp.com. Most people need transportation, and lots of people use lease or loans to purchase a car that is more expensive than they can afford. Meanwhile, there are online communities of people that specialize in finding vehicles that you can drive for free. They do research to determine that a particular car model, a certain number of years old, with certain milage, and they are able to drive it for a year or two and then sell it for around the same price that they bought it for – making their use of it nearly free. (Many times these candidates are luxury cars that are 5-7 years old.I know one person that almost pulled the trigger on doing this with a 12-year old convertible Bentley for a year. Although it was in perfect condition, he was too afraid afraid that a single repair at the dealership might cost him over $2,000). 

So before you go straight to denying yourself for lifestyle spending, do a little research to see if there is a substitution that will fit your needs. This way you can keep the enjoyment and satisfaction while making it affordable to your budget.

Johnny Depp burns through +$650 million

In Depp’s career, he has earned an unbelievable $650 million from his movies (plus more from endorsements). Sadly, Rolling Stone reported in a June 21st interview where he admits that he is broke. So Depp is another one of this year’s celebrity financial implosions. Naturally, there are some allegations of financial mismanagement by his advisors that will play out in court (but he’s only suing for $25 million). Nevertheless, it is a spectacular example to prove the timeless rule: there is no amount of income that can’t be outspent.

So where did his money go? A few expenditures include:

  • $150 million payment to long-term ex-girlfriend Vanessa Paradis in 2012
  • $75 million for 14 residences
  • $7 million payment to ex-wife Amber Heard in 2016
  • $5 million lost on his own record label company
  • $3 million to shoot his deceased friend’s ashes from a cannon (Hunter S. Thompson)
  • Plus hundreds of notable artwork and 45 luxury vehicles

Some of Depp’s annual expenses:

  • $2.4 million on private travel
  • $1.8 million for security
  • $1.2 million for on-call doctor
  • $400,000 on wine

While a fall from great heights is a titillating story, the lessons it provides are important to those on any level of income. Lessons such as spending less than you earn, saving money, financial stability, managing your money or managing your money managers. (Although, this is more difficult if the rumors are true from Depp’s former staff that his life is a storm of illegal drugs, alcohol, and chaos).

Thankfully, Depp has been doing something about his financial predicament with touring income with his band (Hollywood Vampires), attempting to continue his Pirates of the Caribbean movie franchise, and getting some better financial advisers.

How to ask for a pay raise

Which person below is more likely be on a path to promotions and raises?

In a conversation with your supervisor:

  • Person A, “I work harder than anyone else around here. Give me a raise right now or I’ll look elsewhere!”
  • Person B, “I would like to become more valuable to the company. What skills, certifications, degrees, performance, and experience do you recommend for me to advance in the company?”

In my opinion, Person B has a far better long-term strategy to consistently earning more money through gaining more responsibility and corresponding promotions. Person A is more likely to be viewed by management as a whiny complainer, and hopefully they’ll soon quit on their own and be replaced with someone more compatible with the company.

There are 3 elements to getting a pay raise and all of them need to be addressed before you ask for a pay raise. Too many employees fail to do this and end up frustrated or look to quit out of anger when their supervisor refuses to give them a raise.

  1. Employer’s Perspective

It is nearly certain that your employer has a budget and your supervisor has salary limits. For your current position, in your industry, in your geographic area, what is the high/low pay range? And now, where are you within that range? If you’re in the upper quarter of the salary range, that can be a problem because your supervisor can replace you with someone new and save a lot of money. Scores of people in their 50s and 60s are laid off for this exact reason. They are in the upper 10th of the salary range and there are too many qualified people to replace them at a far lower salary. (I know someone who relentlessly badgered her weak-willed boss over years to ratchet up her pay far beyond her average performance. But then a new supervisor was hired and once he discovered her performance and prima-donna salary, she was let go.)

  1. Your Relative Value

Do you consistently exhibit traits worthy of moving up in the company?

How would someone objective compare you to your co-workers?

Do you volunteer for more responsibility or duties?

Do you easily adapt to new systems and changes?

Are you a high or low-maintenance person at work?

These behavioral traits, and many more, are what your supervisor will consider to determine which people to offer pay increases and promotions vs. those people to pass over.

  1. General Negotiations

Your exact pay is a function of a negotiation so it is best to have an idea of the negotiating authority of each side. Does your supervisor believe that you are easily replaceable or are they desperate to keep you? If you’re viewed as easily replaceable, then perhaps you have failed to distinguish yourself or you’re working somewhere where you cannot distinguish yourself; maybe this is the wrong company for you. Sadly, about a 20% of all managers are unqualified for their position. Do you wait it out until they are moved, or apply for positions in a different department, division, or company where you’ll be valued and respected?

When you’re initiating a discussion about a pay increase, the strongest negotiating position is to actually have a job offer from another company. If your supervisor isn’t interested in offering a raise or at least a career development plan, then you have the ultimate bargaining chip – to walk out the door.

Viewing a pay raise as a single confrontation with your boss is a very poor way to address it. The best perspective is to have ongoing discussions throughout the year on career development and paths to promotions, combined with knowing your value in the marketplace.

The statists never give-up on bad ideas

One government retirement plan was just closed out as a colossal failure last year, and the statists are pressing for yet another government-run savings account. At a Detroit Economic Club speech last month, the billionaire Executive Vice Chairman of Blackstone, Tony James, wants a national savings account that is mandatory for all employees. James and a labor economist, Dr. Teresa Ghilarducci, co-authored a new book to promote this retirement account along with corresponding tax credits.

Let’s review a few off-hand problems with their plan:

  • Social Security is already a mandatory government retirement account that has become mis-managed. The moment budgets got tight, politicians effectively replaced the cash with some “custom” U.S. Treasury debt instead. If social security were viewed as an investment, for many groups of people the return is negative (depending on your marital status and how long you live). Social Security is scheduled to be broke in 16 years and Medicare is scheduled to be broke in 8 years. This account will be no different.
  • The last national retirement account, Obama’s MyRA, was launched by the federal government in 2014 and cost $70 million to start-up. This horrible account was shut down in under 3 years for lack of participation. When people reject bad statist ideas, the statists respond by trying to make them mandatory.
  • As history has proven, all of the state-run college funds underperform and over-charge.
  • For the last 16 years, James has worked for Blackstone, the giant money management company. What better way for James to make more money than mandate another big pot of money to manage and siphon fees. Mr. James hasn’t been so forthcoming with this conflict of interest. Meanwhile, Dr. Ghilarducci, a labor economist and Hillary Clinton adviser, and wants ALL current retirement accounts to be controlled and managed by (wait for it) the U.S. Department of Labor. Where presumably, Ghilarducci would have had a job if Hillary Clinton had won the 2016 presidential election.
  • The 3% savings rate that James advocates cannot mathematically add up to any kind of notable amount of money. It certainly cannot become a major part of someone’s retirement income, although their book argues that it will. Particularly if the money is placed into his recommended annuity; the highest fee-laden insurance/investment product that exists.
  • Every few years, U.S. Congress tries to raid retirement accounts because they are easy targets: IRAs, Roth IRAs, 401(k)s, etc. and this new account will be no different. Once the account is started, there will soon be members of congress clamoring for “means testing” to get your money back. Meaning, if you earn over a certain threshold amount, then you are disqualified from receiving your fair-share of your money back. Then that threshold will be ratcheted down.

If the last +2,000 years of government handouts are any guide, then Washington politicians and Wall Street will be the only ones who benefit from this government savings account. Maybe a few crumbs might make it to retirees. A mandatory saving account is still stolen money. Your hard earned-money is taken from you, placed into a prison of high-fee, low-return investments, and maybe you’ll get a little back after you retire. That is the optimistic scenario – it is more likely that the government will change the rules so you effectively get very little back.

So what should be done about a low national savings rate?

I have observed only three inciting forces that raise personal savings rates:

  1. Ongoing financial education and exposure to personal financial concepts.
  2. Experiencing financial struggle from a lack of savings, either you or someone close to you.
  3. A broad economic calamity: economy collapse, currency collapse, hyper-inflation, etc. lasting enough years so that a high savings rate becomes ingrained in the culture.

The government could help more people, at a speck of the cost, by providing early financial education instead of another doomed socialist program.

Illinois continues its downward spiral of over spending & raising taxes

As background: the State of Illinois has the worst credit rating of any state, has chronic budget deficits, and the City of Chicago is in even worse financial shape. Instead of addressing structural problems to reverse its situation, the state doubled the income tax rate in 2012. Three years later, Chicago had the largest property tax increase in history, by $1,750 per household.

The State of Illinois just passed a new budget that included a series of additional tax increases: sales tax, income tax, and business tax. Not only were taxes increased, they are retro-active back to January 1, 2017, a year and a half ago. Going forward, the average Illinois household will pay an additional $1,125 per year.

A few details of their new plan:

  • Income tax will be 4.95%
  • Corporate income tax will be 7%
  • Sales tax of 6.25% is expanded to many other services
  • Increases in cable and satellite TV taxes
  • Reductions in business tax deductions

By raising all kinds of taxes, the state can ignore its runaway spending and increasing pension liabilities.

As long as residents allow more tax increases, then state unions and politicians will have no interest in changing from pensions to affordable 401(k)-type retirement plans.

Let’s review a few of the effects, so far, from the Illinois state government mis-management:

  1. Since 2013, there has been a steady and increasing stream of companies moving from Illinois to neighboring Indiana, and some to Missouri or Wisconsin. Not only small businesses but large manufacturers such as Mitsubishi Motors, Heinz, and General Mills. Although global giant, Caterpillar, is headquartered in Illinois, the company CEO, Doug Oberhelman put it bluntly, “We are building dozens of new factories in other states and Illinois is NOT in the running for such projects.”
  2. There has been a net migration of residents leaving Illinois for years. I know a family that moved from Chicago to Missouri last year because they didn’t see the “tax increase train” turning around anytime soon. And they were afraid of some new government fiasco would unexpectedly damage their home’s value. Think about this: they left the state because of their fear of even more catastrophic moves by the Illinois government.
  3. To avoid high Illinois prices, many residents already travel to Indiana to buy regular goods. Now, an increasing number of people from Illinois drive to Indiana to purchase any big-ticket items like appliances or vehicles.
  4. Chicago’s Mayor has jacked up the cost of every minor fine, tax, permit, sticker, and fee the city can get its hands on.
  5. Even worse, local court systems are financially supporting themselves with aggressive “civil asset forfeitures.” This means randomly impounding your car for huge fines or just stealing your car and auctioning it off and keeping the cash. Social media, particularly around Chicago, has all kinds of stories of “pulled over for an alleged broken tail light” and only getting their car out of impound after thousands of dollars. The city and county each play by their own rules so the city can dismiss a case against you and yet the county couldn’t care less – they’ll still keep your car.

Illinois has a few other self-inflicted business problems: the 4th highest business tax, ranked 42nd in regulatory burden, 4th highest workers compensation insurance, and it is not a Right-to-Work state (no forced union membership). So the State of Illinois continues to be uncompetitive compared to its neighboring states, kicking the can down the road for reductions in pensions and spending, and continuing its worst-in-the-nation credit rating.

What did the famous Nobel-winning economist, Milton Friedman of the University of Chicago say about this type of situation 50 years ago? “Higher taxes never reduce a deficit. Governments spend whatever they take in, and then whatever they can get away with.”

Currency Mismanagement

From households to banks to countries, nothing is more predictable than a financial calamity resulting from mismatching assets and liabilities. In order to be sustainable, a debt needs to match the asset that supports it: the maturity date, currency, credit rating, etc. Every few years some country or central bank gets blown out because they selected an easy short-term solution, only to go bust because of an obvious mismatch. Mismatching is a roll of the dice: sometimes you win. But when you lose at the country level – residents pays heavily for decades to come.

For example, U.S. President Bill Clinton moved long-term U.S. debt into short-term debt to save a percent in interest and make his annual budget number look good. Never mind that he financially imperiled the country to get favorable press for a couple days. This time it worked out, but it was still a 50-50 gamble.

Argentina hasn’t been so lucky with their gambles and today the Argentine peso is in free fall from its latest losing gamble (as seen in the chart). When you peg your currency to the U.S. dollar, and issue a lot of debt in U.S. dollars – how are you going to afford it when the U.S. dollar strengthens against your home currency? You can’t. That is what Argentina’s socialist government failed to learn, yet again. Argentina cannot afford a rising debt payment – debts that were just issued this January are likely to become unaffordable. What was the term of this new debt? Oh, just 100 years. Anybody want to buy some certain-to-default debts that won’t be paid back for 100 years?

Large debts are prompting the Italian government to consider a parallel currency to the Euro. No one will lend to spendthrift Italy (just like spendthrift Greece a few years ago), so Italy is trying to create a new currency (just like Greece a few years ago) to get some liquidity. But just like Greece, the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) will not allow this to occur. So the poor and middle class Italians can likely look forward to becoming ground into the dirt like the European Union did to Greece just a few years ago.

Financial literacy is very important for a family but even more critical for a country. For example, the average Venezuelan adult lost 25 pounds last year from a lack of food. Not from any natural disaster, but from 15-years of increasing socialism where inflation is now around 150% per month. The Venezuelan government is still taking no action to reverse the downward spiral of their economy or currency. This is why holding your money in gold or bitcoin is commonly banned in countries with a continually weakening currency. Government-issued capital controls slows down the currency collapse by erecting a prison that keeps money from escaping toward stronger currencies and assets. It is unfortunate that financial literacy appears to be rare for both families and countries.

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