Blog - Page 14 of 37 - Financial Literacy

Where did you learn to manage your money?

  • A high school course
  • Popular finance author
  • Your parents
  • Online blogs
  • Somewhere else

Since few high schools and colleges teach much about money management and investing, how have you ever been exposed to a systematic plan for making financial decisions? Sadly, many people cobble together a few ideas and muddle along in financial struggle their whole lives. I also come across high-income earners with no idea how to manage their money so they get themselves into more serious financial troubles. Extra money doesn’t cure bad financial habits, it exacerbates them.

Like anything, some people have an aptitude and interest in financial planning while many don’t want to be bothered. Either way, it is like brushing your teeth: It is a task that you must routinely perform or face painful and expensive consequences.

Start your financial literacy effort in small steps, and then continue to improve upon it. As much as I know about money and investing, I still pay to learn new methods and approaches to determine if it is something that I want to incorporate into my money management practice. Beware: Although, money management theories and practices are free all over the internet, sometimes you get what you pay for. Was it a short article written by a general freelance writer or a thorough report written by a business millionaire, professor, or financial educator?

How might you know if you have an adequate level of financial literacy?

  1. Are your financial goals on track?
  2. Are your debts shrinking or growing?
  3. Do your investment accounts have positive returns?
  4. Can you afford the maintenance and upkeep of the items that you own?
  5. Are you setting aside money for large expected purchases?

The more difficult it is for you to positively answer these questions, the more likely you need to add a little more to your financial literacy.

Seeking alternative investments?

It is simple and common to open a brokerage account to buy a mutual fund or stock. But there is a universe of alternative investments categories that most people ignore because they do not know how to find them. I have owned a small part of a race horse, some cattle in Nebraska, a silver certificate held in Austria, and am looking for a producing oil well. You do not come across these easily or by accident, nor should you consider buying any of them without doing a lot of self-education.

This week, I came across a webpage with a large number of investing platforms for investments in: real estate, loans, startup businesses, profitable online businesses, private equity and hedge funds, along with robo-stock trading; http://www.sidehustlenation.com/alternative-investment-platforms

There are many ways to actively invest, here are a few examples:

  • Buy an apartment solely for the purpose of renting it on AirBnB.com.
  • Buy a car solely for the purpose of renting it out on Turo.com.
  • Buy a tool, like a chainsaw, solely to rent it out on the many rental websites; such as loanables.com, anyhire.com, or toolzdo.com.
  • Buy a boat solely to rent on Boatbound.com.
  • Want to start tiny? Rent out a textbook on CampusBookRentals.com.

Plus, there are books and videos on how to make a living or profitable side business from renting items out as well. The more popular the platform, the more information there is about how to best make money from it.

The less you know about any investment, the greater the certainty that you’ll lose money. So spend plenty of time, effort, and some education expense to understand the investments you’re attracted to before you put your hard-earned money at risk.

Are you prepared to act decisively with your portfolio?

The U.S. stock market has been tearing upward for over 8 years. The last 8 months, the stock market has been climbing at an even steeper rate. Meanwhile, interest rates have been trending downward for over 8 years, pushing bond prices ever higher.

Have you been riding these trends upward to grow your investment accounts, or sitting on the sidelines? Have you been scaling back, taking some profits, and re-adjusting because you know it cannot go on forever?

There will be a day in the future when these bull markets will stall or fall. Will you know exactly what action to take, or will you be like a deer in headlights when the stock market falls 5% in one day; or falls 20% over a few weeks. Or if interest rates will jump up to a higher level within a week, will you know what to do? Or like many, will you ride this trend up and then helplessly ride it all the way back down?

This moment, right now, is the time to prepare your mind and emotions for what are logical and prudent actions regarding your investment portfolio. Think about them, write them out, and get expert advice from different sources that are aligned with your risk tolerance. Do this so you will be fully prepared for however the financial markets unfold. When the day arrives and stocks and bonds are falling, you will know exactly what to do while most everyone else panics.

What are a few possibilities?

  • Sell some now to have cash available to buy cheaper later on.
  • Place stop-loss orders to prevent catastrophic losses.
  • Have some candidates ready that will increase in value as the markets move down.

There are more sophisticated tactics for defensive positions, however they must fit your capability, interest, and investment goals. The critical element is to have an investing plan for whatever the financial markets may do. Even if you are a buy-and-hold investor, is there a pain point where you stop the losses – say -25% before it becomes a -40% loss like in 2008? Have an investing plan and be ready to execute it; whether markets are moving calmly or swinging violently.

Age 50 is the “Red Zone” for retirement savings

At age 50 you are in the fourth quarter of your earning career and too many at this age have no notable retirement savings. This is a red-alert financial emergency situation. According to Owen Murray, Director of Investments at Horizon Advisors, “Building a nest egg is like losing weight, there are no shortcuts. People have to spend less and save more.” The likely obstacle to beginning or saving more is probably a mental one.

Peak earning years are around age 45-54, and after age 50, you’ll be lucky if you have 15 years remaining to save (health and age can limit career options over age 60). With zero in savings, some at age 50 would need to save nearly 60% of their income to comfortably retire at the typical age of 65.

Let’s look at some retirement math. In order to withdraw $18,000 a year from your retirement account for the rest of your life, at that point you’ll likely need a balance 25 times that amount, or $450,000. That is a lot to accrue in just 15 years, a savings rate of $30,000 per year. The average person making $55,000 a year will likely have difficulty achieving this. But, however difficult it may be, the alternative is far worse – retiring without adequate savings.

What do you do in an emergency? Drop everything and focus on the problem. In this case, it may mean drastically downsizing and making severe cutbacks in your lifestyle to create the savings necessary to retire. If you’re unwilling to take these drastic measures – exactly how well do you think you’ll handle the downsizing in retirement with only social security as your income, after Medicare and medical deductions? Have you looked up how much your social security income is estimated to be and by what age?

There are a few critical financial tasks for a successful retirement:

  1. All debts are extinguished. This means no student loans, mortgages, or credit card balances.
  2. You have mapped out how much money you’ll need. This is covered by social security, any pension, plus a sustainable withdrawal rate of your retirement assets. A sustainable rate starting point is 4% of the account balance per year.
  3. Expected medical expenses are covered. Paying for prescriptions and medical care is becoming more expensive and will take a larger and larger share of your income.

So if you are nearing age 50 with little to no retirement savings, now is the time to get into emergency mode and do something about it – as if your hair were on fire.

Can your bank “bail in” your money?

A colleague has a side business where he takes in cash from customers all over the country. Since banks consider this activity “too high risk,” they’ve closed a couple of his accounts. A very large bank just closed his most recent account without warning. This bank has been keeping $36,000 of his money from him for 7 weeks while they “investigate.” He told me he was going to talk to a lawyer about getting his money returned.

I replied, “I’m afraid it is not your money at all. The moment you give a penny to a bank, it is theirs to do with as they please. Legally, it is no longer your money; you are an unsecured creditor. They decide if and when to repay your deposit/loan after they take as long as they desire to investigate.” He replied, “Wow, that’s terrifying. I did not know that. I won’t leave that much money in a bank in the future.”

After the 2008 financial crisis, Central Bankers examined how they could avoid the expense of bailing out failing banks in the future. They came up with a solution, nicknamed, a “Bail In” as opposed to a government Bail Out. This is where depositors have a percentage of their money taken from them and handed to the equity in the bank to raise capital. For example, if you had $20,000 in your savings account and the bail in was for 15% then $3,000 of your savings is taken from you and handed to the equity investors of the bank (mainly to make up for losses on failing loans).

There have been bank bail-ins already in: Denmark, Austria, Cyprus, Portugal, and Greece. The European Union setup the rules for bank bail-ins and the G20 nations passed a joint resolution (including the U.S.) in November 2014. The resolution states that, “all bank deposits are now part of the capital structure,” meaning deposits are a lower-priority creditor to the bank.

But in the U.S., aren’t depositors protected by F.D.I.C. insurance up to $250,000 per account? Yes, these accounts are insured by the federal government. However, the F.D.I.C. only has $54B to insure over $6T in deposits, less than 1% of the money in a worse-case scenario. So it is insured, but that insurance is HIGHLY underfunded. The failure of one large bank could blow-out the entire F.D.I.C. fund many times over.

So, the summary of all of this is:

  1. Any money you deposit with a bank is no longer yours; you are an unsecured creditor to the bank.
  2. Your bank deposits are is insured up to $250,000 per account, but the insurance may not be there in a big recession or financial crisis.
  3. There is a possibility that a portion of your bank deposits may be taken as part of a bank-bail in in case your bank suffers too many losses. Of course, the money taken will never be returned to you.

 

Your boss is NOT your boss

No matter where your current boss is on the spectrum of bad, average, or great, it is best to view them not as your supervisor, but as your customer. No matter what your actual tasks may be, view your role as a service business and your supervisor is your primary client.

When you adopt the perspective of meeting the needs of your customer, no matter how high-maintenance they may be, it makes it easier to take their demands less personally.

It is actually to your benefit if your boss is particularly high-maintenance and exacting. Why? It is like going through military bootcamp. You practice crawling under barbed wire with explosions and gunfire going off so that you won’t freeze up when you have to do it in real life. Bootcamp is a practice simulator of extreme pressure to condition and refine your mind, emotions, and body. This conditioning is preparing you to succeed on the field of battle in adverse conditions. Similarly, a bad boss is training you to raise your game – to increase your capabilities. So no matter what you may face in the future, it will be easy by comparison.

It is a choice when you have a bad boss. You can either be miserable or grateful for building up your ability. Guess which choice helps you thrive and which one highlights your agony? If you were to hire someone to complete a critical function, would you rather have an ex-Marine or a sarcastic gamer that spends most of his or her time on the sofa? Which one will likely get the job done for you, no matter what the adversity or challenges? This is actually what bad bosses are inadvertently doing: building up your reserves and ability to handle difficult situations and tasks within difficult time frames. I’m not suggesting that you remain working for a horrible boss. But just like no one remains in bootcamp forever, a temporary bad boss can make you far more valuable in the workplace.

When you view yourself as a service provider to your supervisor, it is easier to evaluate whether you are succeeding as a good one or bad one. For example, do you solve their problems, ignore their problems, or create more problems for them? Do you anticipate what is needed or wait to be asked? Guess which type of service provider gets noticed and eventually gets the big promotion.

At one point, I was doing some freelance work and chatting online with a group of ambitious freelancers in the same industry. After several months, I began chatting with others about how to handle the full-time job offers that I was getting (one even had a large signing bonus). A few of my colleagues were incredulous, “I’ve been doing this twice as long as you with larger clients – how are you getting job offers?” The answer is simple. I help my customers solve their problems. I’m adaptable and courteous, all of the usual behavioral traits you do for someone that you respect. Most importantly, I’m constantly learning how to do my job better so that my services to any customer/boss are superior. And that is how you get unsolicited job offers.

Ignore investing ‘average returns’

It is misleading to use the term ‘average returns’ instead of actual returns. Many financial planners and investment advisors use average returns to make an investment appear far better than it is. Let’s start with a simple example.

Let’s say that the stock market went up 30% one year and then declined 30% the following year.

Wall Street will claim that your ‘average return’ was zero (+0.30-0.30 = 0.00).

Really? Let’s examine what would have occurred with a $10,000 investment.

Year 1: $10,000 X 30% gain = $13,000 account balance at the end of year 1, a net gain of $3,000.

Year 2: $13,000 X -30% loss = $9,100 account balance at the end of year 2, a net loss of $900 or -9%.

So you actually LOST 9% of your money while financial planners using ‘average returns’ would tell you that you broke even.

The financial term is called the ‘sequence of returns’ and it makes a great difference in ACTUAL investment returns. Are large losses incurred with larger account balances or are large gains incurred with smaller account balances – then your actual returns will be far below the ‘average return.’

Here is a short sequence of actual stock market returns:

2004 +10.9%

2005 + 4.9%

2006 +15.8%

2007 + 5.5%

2008 -37.0%

The average return over this period was -0.10%, or about break even.

What would your actual return have been? -10.50%. So Wall Street, using ‘average returns,’ will claim that you just about broke even over 5 years but you actually suffered a loss of over 10%. This is because the 37% loss was incurred on a larger number than the first-year return of 10.9%.

An investment that offers a lower actual return, which is more consistently positive, will usually beat a more variable-return investment, even if they are periodically far higher returns. In the race between the tortoise and the hare, the tortoise’s returns are more robust and far more likely to win any race. When evaluating returns, it is best to ignore ‘average returns’ and use actual returns to determine whether or not it the risk/return provides a favorable location for your money.

5 state pension funds in death-spirals

Chronic financial mismanagement creates physical calamities, whether it is a household, a business, or a government entity. But unlike a household or business, when the government mismanages money, the greatest numbers of people are adversely impacted. Today, the following state pensions are closest to running out of money: California, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, and New Jersey. Not only was their credit rating recently downgraded, analysts are projecting that current workers are highly unlikely to collect the full amount of their promised pension.

The pension assets for Illinois public retirees are currently under funded by $130 billion. This is so much money that the state cannot raise taxes high enough to cover the $130 billion. Let’s examine the mechanism of how an underfunded pension spirals down. Each year that the pension plan is underfunded means that the fund cannot earn an assumed 7% on that missing money that is required to fund retirees. By the end of 2017, the Illinois pension fund will be missing an additional $9 billion (the 7% return on the missing $130 billion) in earnings because the fund has a gap between what they need to have and what they owe retirees. This also means that by the end of 2018, there will be additional missing $630 million (the 7% return on the missing $9 billion). In this manner, each successive year that a pension fund is underfunded, the gap becomes exacerbated the following year. This growing gap between how much a pension fund’s actual value and how much it should have to remain solvent and pay its obligations is a financial death spiral that becomes exponentially larger each year. Sooner or later, the payments become too large for the size of the fund and a financial cliff is reached: there is not enough cash in the fund to make current pension payments to retirees. The Illinois pension problem is not the state’s only financial issue; they haven’t passed a state budget in 3 years so they have $14.6 billion in unpaid bills that has already prompted all kinds of layoffs. The State of Illinois now has the lowest municipal credit rating in the country. Even the two big lotteries, Powerball and Megamillions, are going to exclude the state by July 1st if they don’t pass a budget.

But wait – the death spiral gets worse! When you’re in financial trouble, you have to pay a higher rate on your debt – whether it is a personal loan, business loan, or for a government entity. When you can least afford it, a higher interest rate consumes even more money, accelerating the downward spiral. Last week, the Chicago Board of Education has variable-rate bonds that shot up to 9%. This means the bonds they were paying on had cost 4.6% in interest a few weeks ago but now they have to pay 9% interest. The rate would have gone higher but they were already contractually capped at 9%, so it is likely that they cannot borrow any more money at a reasonable rate. So Illinois and other government entities that rely on issuing bonds for funding may be precluded from doing so, accelerating the timeline to bankruptcy.

Connecticut has the highest income per-capita in the country, and yet, their pension fund is only 51% funded. What about solving it by raising taxes? Connecticut already ranks 2nd highest in tax burden among the states.

In other government fiscal news, the U.S. Federal Government will be bumping up against its own debt ceiling within a few months and is projected to add another $10 trillion to the federal debt over the next 10 years.

 

 

“But everybody else is buying one!”

When you follow what everyone else is doing with their money – beware!

Really? Why?

Let’s take a look. According to the Economic Policy Institute in 2016:

  1. The median amount of retirement savings for all families is $5,000. Note that just under half of American families have no retirement savings at all, the few super-savers pull the average up.
  2. Among those families that actually have any retirement savings, their median amount is $60,000.
  3. For one more reference point: just before entering retirement, when families have the most retirement savings, the median for those with retirement savings is only $163,000.

Let’s take a look at this $163,000; is it enough money to retire on? A common withdrawal rate for retirement accounts, such that you won’t run out of money, is 4% per year. If this 4% withdrawal rate were applied to the $163,000, then your nest egg would give you an additional $6,500 per year, before taxes. This is how much you would be able to add to your social security income: just $541 per month. This small amount of income would likely make for a rough retirement. And this is why you do not want to spend like everyone else spends their money. Because then you’ll be forced to endure a rough retirement like everyone else, on a very low level of fixed income.

According to Bankrate’s annual survey on “What is your greatest financial regret?”

The number one regret for respondents was “Not saving for retirement early enough.” Out of all the possibly problems people have with money, the most painful was not saving enough for retirement. So what do you think is critically important for you to start doing today? Start your retirement savings rate at 15% of your income and slowly increase that rate as your income increases over time.

You cannot control your life until you control your money

A contractor’s work crew was doing some repairs on my house, and since I work from home, I heard the conversations of the workers all day. Their focus was on fishing, concerts, and their next tattoo while they struggled to feed their children and stay current on their rent. These tradesmen were not kids in their teens and twenties but were in their mid-to-late 30s.

As I was helping one of them jump-start their car, because he couldn’t afford a new battery, I asked him how he prioritizes his spending. I have mentioned before, the most difficult question in money management is how you go about calculating what you can afford. He replied, “When I have money then I spend it. That is it. If I have an extra $100, I get a new tattoo but I also buy one for my girlfriend so she won’t get mad that I spent money.”

Over the next few days, I asked a few questions and learned that:

  • None of them have any savings or a retirement accounts
  • Most were touch and go about making rent each month
  • Way too much of their income went to bars, alcohol, cigarettes, and lottery tickets
  • The mention of the word “investing” returned blank stares to me

There is nothing the matter with spending money on a Starbucks coffee and case of beer for the weekend. But when you have trouble making rent, every single month, it may be time for a financial intervention.

When I had to front extra money to the contractor beyond supplies to provide some advances to his crew, I remembered the saying (I believe from Robert Kiyosaki), “Those who cannot manage their money work for people who do manage their money.” This was solidified with their stories about struggle, inconvenience, and victimhood because they were so financially strapped. I offered some casual advice at opportune moments, but my impression is that it was so outside of their way of thinking and living, that it simply didn’t make any sense to them. As in, “Sure, I’ll save money when someone gives me a million dollars – haha!”

As I see it, nearly every aspect of your life depends upon money. So your skill level of money management and discipline will determine whether your life is a continual financial struggle or making progress toward financial stability.

Menu Title