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Financial illiteracy is needlessly expensive

spreadsheet

Part of financial literacy is mapping out your financial life, including forecasting your cash needs into future months or years. For people who have not completed this task, they do not know what they can or cannot afford to spend. When you are spending in the dark like this, it is highly likely that you are overspending in areas that are starving other areas. Those areas that are starved for funding or savings will needlessly become financial crises. These financial crises can take many forms, for example, being unable to afford: A replacement car, home repair, medical procedure, replacement computer, holiday gifts, and the big two expenses – college and retirement.

Another task list for financial literacy is an annual oversight routine. Without this you may be needlessly under or over insured, have an obsolete estate or tax plan, and allowing mistakes on your credit report. Missing this annual review needlessly allows expenses or financial risks to grow hidden from your view.

Another aspect of financial literacy is taking care of the details of financial paperwork. For example, I assisted a woman who received a financial gift and called me to figure out how she was ultimately left poorer with a bad credit rating. This woman inherited some money to pay off the small remaining balance on her home mortgage. Unfortunately, she did not know how to do this and she did not ask anyone for help. She mailed in the extra money to her bank and assumed that they would handle the payoff correctly without any instructions. Instead, the bank held her extra payment in an escrow account. So she missed mortgage payments so that fees and interest charges piled up; plus they reported the missed payments on her credit report. Her financial mismanagement needlessly turned a gift into a curse.

No matter which part of financial literacy may be missing from your normal money management, there is a steep price to be paid. Either spend a little time managing your financial life or you will certainly be paying needless extra costs in many areas of your life.

How to avoid alternative investment scams

gemstones

There is a great need for education before you consider making any investment, and even more so for an alternative investment. For example, a neighbor bought $15,000 worth of rare gold coins a few years ago. He’d then look at the price of gold each week and was pleased that gold was rising. When the price of gold had risen 50% since his purchase, he went to a coin dealer to sell his coins, expecting them to be worth at least $22,000. Unfortunately, coin dealers would only offer $9,000 for his coins. What happened? He thought he had done everything right? It turns out he bought the coins from crooks (who were long gone) and sold him coins with a true value of $6,000 but they charged him $15,000. He had no education in rare coins and solely relied on the crooks to be truthful – a very costly mistake.

This same story of fraud perpetrated against uneducated investors occurs every day with: rare coins, rare gems, raw land, oil fields, cattle, sunken treasure recovery, high-yield investments, can’t lose penny stocks, anything requiring an “fee up-front,” secret bank trading programs, carbon credits, and many other investments.

In addition to being extremely skeptical about any investment, below are some steps you can take to avoid being scammed:

  1. Determine how they found you – is this a cold call or did someone you know pass along your information?
  2. Are they licensed? You can then check to see if disciplinary actions have been made against them individually, or their company. Con artists use fake names and businesses that cannot be verified before they disappear with your money.
  3. Can you verify all of their claims with a known, independent third-party with a good reputation? A glossy brochure and a slick sales script does not mean it is a legitimate investment.
  4. Hang-up on any high-pressure sales approach that takes advantage of your good manners, you want to take your time (or days) evaluating any investment before you part with your money.
  5. Never consider an investment in an area where you do not have a lot of education so that you know the correct due diligence to perform.
  6. Do not sign any document that you don’t fully understand and never give out personal information or send money before you have thoroughly verified the person, the company, and this particular investment.
  7. If there is anything about the opportunity that that cannot be: verified, inspected, audited, proven, or any other due diligence effort – it is either a scam or an unprofessional operation not worthy of your money.
  8. Remember there is always another investment coming along, so if this one is not perfect, tell them, “No thanks,” and move on without looking back.

How well is your net worth growing?

Your net worth is calculated by subtracting all of your debts from all of your assets. If you are hopefully adding to your assets each pay period and paying down your debts each pay period, then your net worth should be on some sort of upward trajectory over time. One reference point for how well you have been accumulating your net worth is to compare to either your peers in age or income.  The tables below show the median net worth values from the 2013 Federal Reserve survey.

net worth charts

A median number is calculated by half the people being above the number and half being below. Since these net worth values include mostly people who have little financial literacy, you may want to use them as a minimum target, and strive for a significantly higher number.

Why is net worth important? Because the more net worth and investment income you have, then the bigger the buffer and flexibility you have to withstand the unexpected financial expenses of life. There may be a time when you will be unable or unwilling to earn active income, and if you do not have a sufficient amount of income then important parts of your life will become painfully underfunded. On the upside, the old phrase “the rich get richer and the poor get poorer,” partially refers to how much you have in investments. The higher your amount of investments then the more you can leverage your personal gain from economic changes. For example, when you have a home, you can benefit from rising real estate values; when you own stocks, you can benefit from a rising stock market; etc. Sooner or later you will be seeking the option to retire from working. Building your net worth and investment income is the most certain way to make that happen.

Investing implications of the rising U.S. dollar

us dollar rise

The U.S. dollar has been rising for the last 3 months. When the dollar is rising this frequently pushes down certain commodity prices, like oil and gold, along with currencies like the Japanese Yen and European Euro.

So what are the investing implications for you? There are many but let’s look at a few stock possibilities:

  • When gasoline is cheaper, it benefits the poor the most, so they have more money to spend at dollar stores and auto parts stores.
  • When gasoline is cheaper then airlines, trucking, and chemical companies become more profitable.
  • When gold is cheaper, gold jewelers make more sales.
  • When the Yen and Euro are cheaper, wealthy foreign investors buy U.S. real estate to maintain their purchasing power in New York City, Miami, and San Francisco.
  • When the dollar is strengthening, U.S. treasury bond interest rates fall.
  • There will be less tourism to the U.S.

Anytime there is a market trend or reversal, there are macro-economic shifts that create potential profits and losses. Being aware of these shifts allows you to sidestep some predictable losses and position yourself for investing gains. Once you conclude that a particular industry may benefit from a new trend, then you can begin to narrow down a candidate list of industry stocks to the top two in which you may want to invest.

U.S. government promoting home ownership nightmares again

house1

Homeowners provide many benefits to communities so governments prefer a high ratio of homeowners. Studies have shown that, in general, homeowners:

  • Promote social stability
  • Increase educational achievement of children
  • Increase civic and community participation
  • Commit less crime
  • Are less dependent on government assistance

Unfortunately, government policy makers repeatedly confuse the cause and effect of these home ownership benefits. The home, itself, does not change people into having these behavioral traits. Instead, there are people, who have behavioral traits with these societal benefits, which just so happen to also make them prone to home ownership. The act of moving from an apartment to a home did not change the person into having those traits, those traits just so happen to be embodied by people who successfully own homes.

But government administrators hope that societal benefits will magically appear from people who do not yet have the financial stability or behavioral traits to be a successful homeowner. So they find ways to artificially lower the barriers to purchase homes, erroneously thinking societal benefits will accrue from this (or cynically, increase their chance of re-election victories).

When the government tries to pre-maturely turn a renter into a homeowner, in general, these families lose the home and end up financially worse off than before they bought the home. This has already happened in Europe, Britain, and the U.S. when government officials try to get people onto the property ladder before their time. Most recently, the federal government did this in the early 2000s and it resulted in a real-estate boom and catastrophic collapse that left the country in an economic depression. Taxpayers then bailed out the government mortgage agencies with $187 billion.

The federal government is at it again this month by issuing new regulations:

  • Down payments can now be as low as 3% when they used to be 10-20%.
  • The allowable Debt-to-Income ratio has been increased from 36% to 43%.
  • Personal credit-ratings will be inflated because medical bills are no longer included.

While every situation and real estate region is different, these broad national rule changes will allow many people into homes who cannot afford them. When you cannot afford your home, there are predictable financial consequences, all which are unfavorable and painful, that also include being eventually forced from the home. Just because you can qualify for a loan does not make that loan a wise financial decision or a benefit to society. Make certain that all of your purchases are affordable, meaning, you must also be able to afford all of the predictable repairs and maintenance required for that item. Decide on your own what home and lifestyle you can afford by financially mapping everything out. Do this so you don’t become a victim to yet another government policy that is not in your personal best interest.

8 financial reviews for year-end planning

2015 signAs the clock runs out each December 31st it is advisable that you prepare your finances with a beneficial year-end review. While I am not a tax-attorney and cannot offer specific advice, below are items that you and your financial advisers may want to evaluate as each year-end approaches.

1) Employee Withholding Tax:

  • If your employment or withholding situation has changed over the year, make sure that you’ve paid enough to the federal government to avoid underpayment penalties. Or, make any adjustments for next year.

2) Qualified investment accounts (401(k), IRA, Roth IRA, 529, etc.):

  • Complete any annual contributions to (or mandatory withdrawals from) retirement accounts
  • Complete any annual contributions to tuition-education plans.

3) Health Expenses:

  • If you have met your annual insurance deductible, if possible, get any additional medical procedures before year-end.
  • Make use of any remaining money in your flexible health spending accounts.
  • Evaluate getting mandatory health insurance or paying the IRS penalty.

4) Donations and Gifts:

  • Use your $14,000 annual gift exemption that is tax-free.
  • Complete any financial contributions to charities for the year.
  • Complete any donations of physical items to charities for the year.

5) Investments:

  • Find potential investment capital losses to offset any capital gains that are taxable for the year.

6) Timing of Payments:

  • It may be financially beneficial for you to accelerate or defer deductible payments from next year into the current year.
  • It may be financially beneficial for you to accelerate or defer income from this year into next year.
  • Categories for these item are flexible income sources, unreimbursed employee expenses, medical payments, estimated tax payments, or charitable contributions. Be aware that certain deductions need to pass certain thresholds or are subject to deduction limitations.

7) Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)

  • There are very steep cliffs on subsidies for mandated health insurance premiums. A small $50 in your reported taxable income can make a $5,900 increase in your net tax liability. Mapping out the Obamacare subsidy thresholds and your taxable income is critical to analyze now.

8) Washington’s last minute tax changes

  • Some of these may apply to you and increase or decrease your tax liability. Be aware of pending items Washington may act upon so you can adjust your planning to take advantage of these changes.

You may have additional issues to evaluate for your particular circumstances, but always address them before the year-end to optimize any tax-consequences for the year.

Student loans are haunting retirees

college savings

In 2013, there was $18.2 billion in student loan debt owed by senior citizens. These were not loans taken out for their children or grandchildren – these were loans for their own college education several decades earlier. You may know that student loans cannot be discharged by bankruptcy and so federal government loan agencies are now garnishing retirement social security checks in order to pay these delinquent loans back.

When student loans are delinquent, the account balances continue to grow with interest charges. Over months and years, these balances accrue into amounts that are many multiples of the original loan. These financial calamities could have been avoided with some financial literacy before any loan is taken. For example, what kind of degree are you funding? What is the average starting salary for that type of degree? What is the average salary increase for new hires for the first few years? This information is needed to determine the maximum amount of student loan debt that you could comfortably payoff within 3-5 years. There are some specific rules in my book for affordability, but you must try to assess:

  • How much money you’ll need to complete your education?
  • How much you can contribute?
  • How much do students earn from this school with this degree?
  • How much student loan debt this salary can support?
  • What are student loan rates and specific rules today?
  • Are there more affordable education options for me?

Whenever there are horror stories about student loan debt, they all start with both the student and their parents having no financial literacy. The problem is never the loans but the financial illiteracy surrounding their decision-making. When you don’t understand money and start dealing with big numbers, particularly with interest-carrying debt, then a financial crisis is increasingly likely to occur.

You need financial literacy to make any significant financial decision; especially with potentially dire consequences, such as painful student-loan garnishments are for retirees today.

401(k) fees still eat up your retirement money

retirement

There are periodic calls for more transparency on mutual fund fees and 401(k) plan fees. However, using the publically available information on these funds proves they still eat chunks of your retirement money.

For example, three of the most popular mutual funds that track the S&P 500 in 401(k) plans took between 12%-37% of your investment balance over 30 years. So instead of retiring with a balance of $150,000, your account will only reflect $94,500; and this is before you pay income tax on your withdrawals.

A study by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College last month showed that fees from 401(k) plans reduce account balances by an average of 16% over 30 years. This drain is from high fees from passively-managed indexes, not the research intensive actively-managed funds which have even higher fees.

You may be thinking about now, “But my employer makes contributions to my 401(k) plan, that is free money. If I don’t contribute, then I am turning away free money!” Half of all employers do not contribute and of those that do, the average contribution is 3.6% match of the employee’s salary.

Whatever contribution your employer makes, you need to calculate if it is large enough to offset:

  • High fees
  • Poor performing funds
  • The inflexibility of your plan’s portfolio options
  • Your other investment and account-type alternatives.

Although many people ask for my assistance in evaluating the 401(k) plan options, I have yet to come across a plan whose employer contributions fully make up for these shortcomings. Doing this math is part of financial literacy that so few people actually map out. If you are financially ambitious, you’ll be better off putting your retirement dollars in some other location with other types of investments. For example, a far better alternative is a Roth-IRA, which offers more flexibility on every front, and has already been taxed. If you earn too much, everyone can contribute to an IRA account and possibly convert it to a Roth-IRA.

Are your job-skills current or obsolete?

Job openings 2014

Since the 2008 financial crisis, the labor market in the U.S. remains horrible. Nearly 7 years later:

  • Record levels of people on food stamps is not decreasing (over 40 million families)
  • Duration of unemployment is still double what it used to be (at 31 weeks right now)
  • The labor participation rate has fallen to a 40-year low (under 63%)
  • Unemployment duration is the longest since World War II

Alongside of the difficulties in finding work, there is an anomaly that job openings have recovered and have now surpassed the pre-2008 levels. There are currently 4.8 million non-farm open positions. How can there be so many unfilled positions with so many people looking for work? This disconnect is called a “labor market skills mis-match.” People who are looking for work do not have the skills that are needed for the positions that are open.

There is a gap between the skills that the unemployed have and the skills that employers are seeking. Experts have suggested that people who lost their jobs pre-2008 could get work related to the real estate boom (construction, mortgage broker, etc.). Those jobs did not require a high level of skill, however, far fewer of those jobs are available today.

The critical element for your employment is to keep your skill set current. Your set of skills that you offer employers needs to stay in alignment with the changes in your industry. You should periodically review your industry for its attractiveness:

  • Is your industry growing or shrinking globally? How about in your country or region?
  • Are processes changing in your industry and are you keeping up with those changes?
  • Is there a disruptive technology or company that may damage or eliminate your company?
  • Is there a disruptive technology that may eliminate your position or current skills?
  • Are you increasing your skill level with certifications or degrees to increase your value?

To maximize your career trajectory, you need the skills that will increase your desirability to employers. This requires on-going adjustments throughout your career to make sure you are in the best industry, with a best employer, offering opportunities for your development and advancement. By doing this you are simultaneously minimizing your risk of falling into the skills-gap of a long stretch of unemployment.

Financial-planning advice and fads

financial regulations

The financial-adviser industry is like any other in this respect: there are “experts” and “thought leaders” speaking at conferences with new concepts and ideas surrounding investing. There are investing fads that come and go with each temporary trend in the economy. These fads may start from anywhere: academia, a popular book that investors start asking their advisers about, or a new product category that offers a new feature.

The advice a particular adviser will offer depends upon: the adviser firm’s investment stance, the experience of the adviser, and where he or she gets their financial planning news and ideas.

As an example, let’s pose a question: Should you be invested in bonds? A young adviser may say, “They are offering tiny yields, I’d recommend you stay away.” An asset-allocation adviser may say, “You should definitely have at least 30% of your portfolio in long-term bonds.” A retirement adviser may recommend, “Municipal bonds that are properly insured are very safe and tax-efficient; this is where you should place your bond allocation.” While I might say today, “Yes, interest rates are low – so you’ll get clobbered if interest rates rise. So only buy bonds that you will definitely hold until they mature in the short-term, say 4 years or less.”

The advice from these 4 opinions will have a dramatically different risk/reward impact on your portfolio over time. And remember, this is just one question. There are many questions that need to be answered to complete any financial plan. Some other investing themes currently today include: should you have alternative investments in your portfolio, should you investing be goals-based or cash-flow based, and how often should investment performance be evaluated.

When you have a personal portfolio, you, alone, are the CEO of the portfolio-management team. If you outsource some of this work to others, like financial advisers, you are still fully responsible for what they are doing and need to know how to manage them (and if necessary, replace them). As the CEO, you need some financial literacy and investment literacy so that you can:

  • Communicate your goals with any financial adviser that you may employ
  • Understand the financial planning fads that may be presented to you
  • Keep your portfolio growth on target
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