A normal interest rate is a percentage paid and received on a loan. The borrower pays the interest and the lender receives the interest. This type of transaction goes back thousands of years. In today’s financial landscape, something different is occurring, called negative interest rates. This is when the lender is charged a percentage for the privilege of loaning money to a borrower who received the interest. It sounds crazy but this is what happens when central planners believe they know better than free markets and manipulate economies by decree. Negative interest rates do not occur naturally, they can only be imposed by force from governments that are desperate to avoid deflation in a weakening economy. Today, there are many weakening economies around the world.
The purpose of negative interest rates is an attempt to force companies and individuals to spend money to artificially jump-start economic activity. When you are charged a fee to have money in your checking account then you are going to be more likely to spend it rather than have the bank take it from you bit-by-bit. The general process starts with central banks charging commercial banks to prompt them to lend more money. These banks may or may not pass negative interest rates to business clients and private individuals. However, the longer or more negative the rates become, then the more likely banks pass those negative interest rates on to businesses and individuals.
Which countries are enacting negative interest rates?
- The Central Bank of Japan just announced negative interest rates. This is on top of buying much of the debt that the Japanese government is issuing.
- The European Central Bank has had negative interest rates since 2014 and made interest rates to commercial banks more negative, from -0.2% to -0.3%.
- The Netherlands is upside-down where some banks are paying mortgage holders (who have floating rates) instead of charging those mortgage holders.
- The central banks of Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland all have negative interest rates as well. One small Swiss bank found that the central bank’s negative interest rates subsumed all of its profit, so it now charges every account at its bank a fee of -0.125%.
One problem with artificially low and negative interest rates is that it causes mal-investment, or asset price bubbles that will pop – instead of sustainable economic activity. Another problem is that businesses and individuals will avoid banks that are chewing up their money with negative interest-rate fees and hoard cash. This is the opposite of what the central banks want – hoarding cash instead of spending money. But don’t you worry, Keynesian economists are forever coming up with additional interventions to take money from the populous to transfer to the government. For example, Miles Kimball, an economist at the University of Michigan who has been a strong proponent of negative interest rates has an idea. To help central banks around the cash hoarding problem, Kimball thinks they should charge a rate between paper bills and electronic money to incentivize people to stay in electronic money. In my opinion, this would exacerbate the cash hoarding problem and the economy would move away from banks to both cash and cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin.